Futurist Ray Kurzweil details the technology timeline leading up to 2029 including the downsides to Singularity.
Raymond Kurzweil is an inventor, entrepreneur, author, and futurist. Called “the restless genius” by The Wall Street Journal and “the ultimate thinking machine” by Forbes, Kurzweil’s ideas on the future have been touted by his many fans, ranging from Bill Gates to Bill Clinton. Inc. Magazine ranked him number eight among entrepreneurs in the United States, calling him the “rightful heir to Thomas Edison,” and PBS included him as one of 16 “revolutionaries who made America.” MIT’s Marvin Minsky has said, “with his brilliant descriptions of the coming connections of computers and immortality, Kurzweil clearly takes his place as a leading futurist of our time.”
As one of the leading inventors of our time, Kurzweil was the principal developer of the first CCD flat-bed scanner, the first omni-font optical character recognition, the first print-to-speech reading machine for the blind, the first text-to-speech synthesizer, the first music synthesizer capable of recreating the grand piano and other orchestral instruments, and the first commercially marketed large-vocabulary speech recognition.
Kurzweil is the recipient of the $500,000 MIT-Lemelson Prize, the world's largest for innovation. He has received honors from three US presidents, including Bill Clinton; when in 1999, he received the National Medal of Technology, the nation's highest honor in technology. In addition, Kurzweil was inducted into the National Inventor's Hall of Fame, established by the US Patent Office and has received sixteen honorary doctorates. Distributed by Tubemogul.
Transcendent Man nos presenta la vida e ideas de Ray Kurzweil, el renombrado futurista que describe su vision futurista en la que conviviremos con nuestras maquinas inmortales billones de veces más inteligentes...todo en un periodo de los próximos 30 años
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Everything is exponential to Ray Kurzweil. Ray has studied technology trends for a long time. An avid futurist, and as some say a transhumanist, he wants to understand what technological advances the future is going to bring. Want to know what the technology of the future will look like? Ray can imagine it. Not without his share of critics, he believes we will have enough solar energy to meet our needs in 16 years and a complete understanding of how the human brain works in the next 20 years. "Evolution is a spiritual process," he says, bringing us closer to "the ideal of God."
A production of *******www.leadel****, a project of The European Jewish Congress (*******www.eurojewcong****) and made possible thanks to its President Moshe Kantor. Distributed by Tubemogul.
D'après Ray Kurzweil, avancer en âge ne devrait pas être obligatoirement synonyme de vieillissement. On va pouvoir en effet ralentir ce processus voire l'arrêter ou l'inverser grâce au progrès qu'aura fait la nanotechnologie dans une vingtaine d'années. D'ici là, il convient de profiter des possibilités que la médecine et la biotechnologie offrent pour rester en bonne santé et franchir ce que Ray Kurzweil nomme le 3ème pont, celui d'une vie éternelle ou du moins radicalement rallongée.
SAP TechEd 2009 Phoenix Keynote Highlights Video with SAP CTO, Vishal Sikka and Ray Kurzweil
Y STEPHANIE STOUFFER
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Move aside, R2D2 -- because Watson is coming to town, and we’re not talking about Holmes’ counterpart. We’re talking about a machine that is going to give Ken Jennings a run for his money.
The IBM project, named Watson, is competing in Jeopardy against big-winners Jennings and Brad Rutter. Don’t believe it? Here’s a preview.
HOST: “At the Old Divide Gorge in 1959 she and hubby Louis found a 1.75 million year old Australopithecus Boise-eyed skull -- Watson?”
WATSON: “Who is Mary Leeky?
HOST: “You are right.”
WATSON: “800, same category.”
HOST: “Harriet Boyd Haas was the first woman to discover and excavate a Minoan settlement on this island -- Watson.”
WATSON: “What is Crete.
WATSON: “Let’s finish Chicks Dig Me.”
Watson is the brainchild of an entire team of IBMers, including experts from five big-name universities like MIT and Carnegie Mellon.
Although the machine has already beat several Jeopardy contestants, the final test is still to come. So why Watson?
SCIENTIST: “Watson is a Question Answering system that can take a question in natural human language and search over the data that we’ve fed into the system that it has analyzed to come up with the correct answer.”
DAVID FERRUCCI: “It’s an information-seeking tool that is capable of understanding your question to make sure that you get what you want and then delivers that content through a naturally flowing dialogue.” (ABC)
But Watson doesn’t just regurgitate information. It actually has to process how to answer questions that require thinking, not just spitting out a fact. David Gondek, a Watson researcher, tells Engadget exactly how it works.
“You don’t want to use the same algorithm for all of these questions, it’ll send you down the wrong path. So what we do is we actually let all the algorithms fire -- all of our analytics, if they think they know something about the answer they will produce a score for that answer, and at the end we weigh all those algorithms together.”
So does this mean machines like Watson are eventually going to take over the world? Ray Kurzweil says think ally, not enemy.
“It’s not an alien invasion. They’re not coming from Mars to displace us. We’re creating them to make ourselves smarter. We’re going to literally merge with them.”
And that merger might not be far off. Tech News Daily says IBM has already thought of ways Watson could do as much as save a life.
“Researchers spoke of Watson helping doctors consider diagnoses for patients. Watson could plow through the latest (as well as the oldest) medical literature for obscure — yet relevant — case studies given a list of symptoms, accessing far more information than a physician could ever keep in his or her head.”
But before Watson goes off and changes the way the world works, it has a big game ahead of him. And a writer for Gigaom says he has a feeling Watson is going to walk away with the win.
“The techie in me wants Watson to win … but the human in me wants to cling to that last thread of hope that human judgment can prevail against artificial intelligence. The realist in me knows that Watson will prevail.”
The three-part Jeopardy game starts February 14th. Who do you think will win?
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Transcript by Newsy.
DANCE WITH THE ELEPHANT: LIFE'S COSMIC EQUATION
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Don Calhoun and Duane Kuss co-author the ground breaking book "Dance with the Elephant: Life's Cosmic Equation" filled with life-changing stories and personal exercises.
So who is right, science or religion? The question centers around the third component of Life's Cosmic Equation (CP + RC + F (Faith) * T = CL ), the topic of Faith. Faith is normally a word associated with religious beliefs. Most of the time we don't think of faith being a part of the secular scientific approach to solving the mysteries of the universe.
When we Dance With The Elephant, faith is the common link that bridges both communities. A scientist places belief in a theory or a hypothesis on the basis of limited evidence and as a starting point for further investigation. It is faith that motivates the cosmologist to venture into the unknown trusting and confident that new discoveries will be made. That same faith is present in the religious belief system based on spiritual apprehension rather than scientific proof or validation. God and the doctrines of the specific religion become the unknown requiring the believer to have faith.
Both science and religion are witnessing what Ray Kurzweil calls the law of accelerating returns. We live in a world where the advances made in human-created technology are expanding at an exponential rate. Not just one plus one, but two times two times two. Think of walking 30 steps in a linear world and you just walked the distance of each step times 30. Walk 30 steps in the exponential world and you just covered the distance of a single step times 1 billion. Science and religion are both facing an immediate future involving exponential rates of change and only through faith will civilization have the capacity to dance with it.
In a world of exponential accelerating change, both science and religion are pitted against the same great unknown. Hopefully, through our common star dust origins, there is a story that can bridge and unite the divide that existed in the past between these two faith based groups. Each of us must apply the entire Life's Cosmic Equation to our lives and dig deeper into the question of what will bring purpose and meaning to our lives in this new exponential evolving world we're now entering into.
Don Calhoun and Duane Kuss co-author the ground breaking book "Dancing With The Elephant" filled with life-changing stories and personal exercises. View 20 videos that explore how to be happy in life.
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